DDI3.1 Dokumentation für Studie 'Die Reichsbank 1876 bis 1920' ZA8144 Die Reichsbank 1876 bis 1920 Diebolt, Claude Darne, Oliver GESIS - Leibniz Institut für Sozialwissenschaften GESIS - Leibniz Institut für Sozialwissenschaften doi:10.4232/1.8137 Die Reichsbank 1876 bis 1920 In ihrer Untersuchung analysieren die Autoren die saisonale Schwankungsbreite der Metallvorräte der Reichsbank von 1876 bis 1920. Anhand einer spezifischen Methode der Zeitreihenanalyse (saisonaler Einheitswurzel-Test) erkennen sie eine deutliche Abweichung der Werte zum Jahresende bzw. Jahresbeginn. „One of the major characteristics of many economic time series is the presence of seasonal movements. The other types of movements are the trend, the cycle and the irregular … In general, the study of seasonal fluctuations has a long tradition in the analysis of economic time series … Recently, a new viewpoint has emerged, showing that seasonal fluctuations are not necessarily a nuisance. They are an integral part of economic data and should not be ignored or obscured in economic analysis. Therefore, the study of the seasonal behaviour in the series is important for model evaluation and forecasting. Seasonal movements of economic time series might be deterministic. In this case, they are modelled with seasonal dummies. Another approach is to model seasonality as a non-stationary process, i.e. seasonality evolves over time by allowing for seasonal unit roots … The seasonal unit root tests make it possible to determine the nature of the deterministic and stochastic seasonal fluctuations. In this paper, we apply this method to the original monthly series of the Reichsbank monetary stock (constructed in weekly data with 2160 observations) and emphasize deterministic seasonal fluctuations with notably a strong seasonality at the beginning and at the end of the year. This statistical result is closely related to the turning points detected by the historical analysis" (Darne, O./Diebolt, C., 2000: Explorations in Monetary Cliometrics. The Reichsbank: 1876-1920, in: Historical Social Research / Historische Sozialforschung (HSR), Vol. 25, No. 3/4, S. 23f). ZA8144_ConCom de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_UniSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Uni de.gesis 1.0.0 Historische Sozialforschung DXDE Deutsches Reich (1871-1945) DE Deutschland DDDE Deutsche Demokratische Republik (1949-1990) Countries and Regions (ISO3166-1/2) Countries and Regions (ISO3166-1/2) 1876 1920 Darne, O./Diebolt, C., 2000: Explorations in Monetary Cliometrics. The Reichsbank: 1876-1920, in: Historical Social Research / Historische Sozialforschung (HSR), Vol. 25, No. 3/4, S. 23-35. Online-Datenbank HISTAT https://www.histat.gesis.org ZA8144_SU de.gesis 1.0.0 Weitere Hinweise ZA8144_Arc de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_OrgSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Org_DC de.gesis 1.0.0 1876 1920 Quantitative Daten zur historischen Statistik ZA8144_SU de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_VarSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Var de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_SU de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_VarSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Var de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 Excel ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogRec de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_PhyDatPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_PhyStrSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_PhyStr de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_PhyRecSeg 0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogRec de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_LogRec de.gesis 1.0.0 0 ZA8144_PhyDatPro de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_RecLaySch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_RecLay de.gesis 1.0.0 doi:10.4232/1.8137 0 ZA8144_Arc de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_OrgSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Org_AR de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144 A Daten und Dokumente sind für die akademische Forschung und Lehre freigegeben. doi:10.4232/1.8137 Daten und Dokumente sind für die akademische Forschung und Lehre freigegeben. GESIS - Leibniz Institut für Sozialwissenschaften GESIS https://www.gesis.org/ Diebolt, Claude; Darne, Oliver 2026-08-15 ZA8144_Arc de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_OrgSch de.gesis 1.0.0 ZA8144_Org_AR de.gesis 1.0.0 Histat 2.0 nach DDI 3.1 Export